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2020 Illinois Democratic primary

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2020 Illinois Democratic primary

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184 Democratic National Convention delegates (155 pledged, 29 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count 94 60
Popular vote 924,771 565,762
Percentage 59.0% 36.1%

Illinois Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Election results by county
  Joe Biden
  Bernie Sanders

The 2020 Illinois Democratic primary took place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020, one of three states voting on the same day in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Illinois primary is an open primary, with the state awarding 184 delegates, of which 155 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Immediately after the polls closed at 7:00 pm central time, the Associated Press declared Joe Biden the winner of the Illinois primary. Biden was victorious in all but one county, Champaign County. Together with victories in Florida and Arizona, Biden greatly expanded the gap in delegates between him and Sanders.[1] Voter turnout was significantly down from 2016, due to the closure of polling places as a result of the ongoing 2019-2020 Covid-19 pandemic in the United States.[2][3]

Procedure

Illinois is one of three states which held primaries on March 17, 2020, the other two being Arizona and Florida.[4]

Voting took place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 155 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 155 pledged delegates, between three and eight are allocated to each of the state's 18 congressional districts and another 20 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 34 at-large pledged delegates. These delegate totals do not account for pledged delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[5]

National convention district level delegates are listed on the ballot and chosen during the primary. The national convention delegation meeting will subsequently be held on Monday, April 27, 2020, to vote on the 34 pledged at-large and 20 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 155 pledged delegates Illinois sends to the national convention will be joined by 29 unpledged PLEO delegates (12 members of the Democratic National Committee; 15 members of Congress, including both Senators and 13 U.S. Representatives; the governor; and former president Barack Obama).[5]

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Un-
decided[a]
270toWin Mar 17, 2020 Mar 7–16, 2020 58.6% 30.2% 2.0% 9.2%
RealClear Politics Mar 17, 2020 Mar 10–12, 2020 60.0% 30.5% [b] 9.5%
FiveThirtyEight Mar 17, 2020 until Mar 16, 2020[c] 61.5% 26.6% 1.5% 10.4%
Average 60.0% 29.1% 1.8% 9.1%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Illinois Democratic primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Swayable Mar 16, 2020 1,861 (LV) ± 3.0% 63% 28% 10%[e]
Emerson College/Nexstar Mar 11–12, 2020 567 (LV) ± 4.1% 57% 36% 2%[f] 6%
Gravis Marketing Mar 10–12, 2020 549 (LV) ± 4.2% 63% 25% 12%
ROI Rocket Mar 6–12, 2020 960 (LV) ± 3.1% 57% 34% [g] [g]
Victory Research Mar 7–9, 2020 1,200 (LV) ± 2.83% 55% 36% 1%[h] 8%
Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club Mar 8, 2020 457(LV) ± 4.58% 64% 32% 4%[i] [j]
55% 26% 2%[k] 16%
Mar 1–5, 2020 Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race
Victory Research Feb 17–19, 2020 1,200(LV) ± 2.83% 20.3% 14.5% 11.4% 6.3% 25.6% 6.6% 4.4%[l] 10.9%
Southern Illinois University Feb 10–17, 2020 475 (LV) ± 4.5% 14% 17% 13% 8% 22% 6% 2%[m] 17%
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Victory Research Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2019 1,500 (RV) ±2.83% 23.2% 3.6% 15.9% 3.2% 2.6% 15.0% 17.4% 12.3%[n] 6.9%
Victory Research Jul 26–29, 2019 1,200 ± 2.83% 36.1% 9.3% 8.6% 1.7% 15.2% 12.8% 9.2%[o] 7.3%

Results

2020 Illinois Democratic primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 924,771 59.0 94
Bernie Sanders 565,762 36.1 60
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 23,809 1.5 0
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 22,067 1.4 0
Tulsi Gabbard 9,118 0.6 0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 9,080 0.6 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 3,784 0.2 0
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 2,593 0.2 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 1,619 0.1 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,522 0.1 0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,286 0.1 0
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,122 0.1 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 0 0.0 0
Total 1,566,533 100% 154 (out of 155)

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ Gabbard not averaged
  3. ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  4. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 7%
  6. ^ Gabbard with 2%
  7. ^ a b Not yet released
  8. ^ Gabbard with 1%
  9. ^ Gabbard with 4%
  10. ^ Result after "Undecided" is ruled out as an option.
  11. ^ Gabbard with 2%
  12. ^ Steyer with 3.4%; Gabbard with 1.0%
  13. ^ Steyer and Yang with 1%; someone else with 1%
  14. ^ Patrick with 2.4%; Booker with 2.3%; Steyer with 1.8%; Castro with 1.6%; Yang with 1.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Williamson with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bullock with 0.5%; Sestak with 0.3%; Delaney with 0.1%
  15. ^ O'Rourke with 2.1%; Booker with 1.4%; Gillibrand with 1.0%; Steyer with 0.8%; Inslee with 0.7%; Castro with 0.6%; de Blasio with 0.4%; Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 0.3%; Gravel with 0.2%; Moulton and Sestak with 0.1%; Delaney and Messam with 0.0%

See also

References

  1. ^ "Illinois Election Results: Live Presidential Primary 2020". New York Times. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
  2. ^ "The Coronavirus Outbreak Has Made Voting In Illinois Today A Full Mess". BuzzFeed News. Retrieved 2020-04-08.
  3. ^ Levine, Sam (2020-03-18). "Closures and confusion as US voters go to the polls amid coronavirus concerns". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2020-04-08.
  4. ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  5. ^ a b "Illinois Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 20, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  6. ^ "Illinois Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 20, 2020.

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