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2020 Basque regional election

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2020 Basque regional election
← 2016 5 April 2020
Election postponed for the duration of the coronavirus pandemic
All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,793,878 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg0.6%[1]
  Iñigo Urkullu 2019 (cropped).jpg Maddalen Iriarte 2020b (cropped).jpg Miren Gorrotxategi 2019 (cropped).jpg
Leader Iñigo Urkullu Maddalen Iriarte Miren Gorrotxategi
Party EAJ/PNV EH Bildu Elkarrekin
Podemos–IU
Leader since 2 December 2007 3 February 2020 27 February 2020
Leader's seat Álava Gipuzkoa Biscay
Last election 28 seats, 37.4% 18 seats, 21.1% 11 seats, 14.8%
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg10 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg20 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg27
  (Carlos Iturgaiz) EPP Helsinki Congress in Finland, 7-8 November 2018 (44865927635) (cropped).jpg Idoia Mendia 2019 (cropped).jpg
Leader Carlos Iturgaiz Idoia Mendia
Party PP+Cs PSE–EE (PSOE)
Leader since 24 February 2020 20 September 2014
Leader's seat Biscay Biscay
Last election 9 seats, 12.1%[a] 9 seats, 11.9%
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg29 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg29
BasqueCountryProvinceMapParliament2020.png
Constituency results map for the Basque Parliament
Incumbent Lehendakari

Iñigo Urkullu
EAJ/PNV



The 2020 Basque regional election was to be held on Sunday, 5 April 2020, simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community, with all 75 seats in the Parliament being up for election.

On 4 February 2020, Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu had discussed holding a snap election within a cabinet meeting, fulfilling a legal requirement previous to any election call and sparking speculation that a regional election was imminent.[2][3][4] Six days later, on 10 February, Urkullu confirmed the election for 5 April, seeking to distance himself from the convoluted political landscape in Catalonia after a 2020 election in the region was announced by Catalan president Quim Torra.[5][6][7] The announcement of the Basque election prompted Galician president Alberto Núñez Feijóo to trigger a snap election in Galicia as well.[8][9] However, on 16 March it was announced that the vote would be postponed for the duration of the 2020 coronavirus pandemic in Spain, shortly after Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's declaration of a nationwide lockdown in the country starting on the previous day.[10][11][12]

Overview

Electoral system

The Basque Parliament is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Basque Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari.[13]

Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Basques abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[14] The 75 members of the Basque Parliament are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Gipuzkoa, being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats each to provide for an equal representation of the three provinces in parliament as required under the regional statute of autonomy.[13][15] This means that Álava is allocated the same number of seats as Biscay and Gipuzkoa, despite their populations being, as of 1 July 2019, 328,571, 1,138,871 and 714,477, respectively.[16]

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[17]

Election date

The term of the Basque Parliament expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 25 September 2016, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 25 September 2020. The election decree must be published in the BOPV no later than 1 September 2020, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 25 October 2020.[13][15][18]

The lehendakari has the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament is to be dissolved and a fresh election called.[19]

On 4 February 2020, it was revealed that Iñigo Urkullu was considering holding a snap election within a short timeframe and that he had fulfilled legal requirements for it by raising such hypothesis within a cabinet meeting,[20][21] with 5 April being regarded as the most likely date.[2] The decision of Catalan president Quim Torra on 29 January to announce a snap Catalan regional election to be held at some point throughout 2020 was said to have raised concerns within Urkullu's government, as the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) sought to prevent the next Basque regional election from being held simultaneously to prevent any interference from the Catalan political debate into the Basque campaign.[3][22][23]

Asked in a plenary session of parliament on 7 February on whether he would be dissolving the chamber within the following days, Urkullu refused to either explicitly confirm or reject such hypothesis, but asked opposition parties for a commitment to approve as many legislation as possible "now and in the future".[24][25] Sources within the Basque government pointed out that, for an election to be held on 5 April, the dissolution decree would have to be published in the BOPV on Tuesday, 11 February, and that if a snap election was to be eventually called the announcement of it happening could be delayed up to that day.[26][27] Finally, Urkullu confirmed on 10 February the election date for 5 April, with the subsequent dissolution of parliament to be made official on the next day.[6][28][29]

Parliamentary status

The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 11 February 2020, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country.[30] The table below shows the status of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[31][32]

Parliamentary composition in February 2020
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Basque Nationalists EAJ/PNV 28 28
EH Bildu EH Bildu 18 18
Elkarrekin Podemos Podemos 8 11
EzAn–IU 2
Equo 1
Basque Socialists PSE–EE (PSOE) 9 9
Basque People's PP 9 9

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[15][33]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
EAJ/PNV Iñigo Urkullu 2019 (cropped).jpg Iñigo Urkullu Basque nationalism
Christian democracy
Social democracy 		37.36% 28 ☑Y [34]
EH Bildu Maddalen Iriarte 2020b (cropped).jpg Maddalen Iriarte Basque independence
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism 		21.13% 18 ☒N [35]
[36]
[37]
Elkarrekin
Podemos–IU 		Miren Gorrotxategi 2019 (cropped).jpg Miren Gorrotxategi Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism 		14.76% 11 ☒N [38]
[39]
[40]
PP+Cs (Carlos Iturgaiz) EPP Helsinki Congress in Finland, 7-8 November 2018 (44865927635) (cropped).jpg Carlos Iturgaiz Conservatism
Liberalism 		12.13%[a] 9 ☒N [41]
[42]
[43]
[44]
PSE–EE
(PSOE) 		Idoia Mendia 2019 (cropped).jpg Idoia Mendia Social democracy 11.86% 9 ☑Y [45]
Vox Portrait placeholder.svg None[b] Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism 		0.07% 0 ☒N [46]

In August 2018, Pilar Zabala, the leader of Elkarrekin Podemos, announced that she would not seek reelection and would leave politics by the end of the legislature.[47] Ahead of the election, Equo was excluded from the coalition after the party had broken up with the Unidas Podemos nationwide alliance to join Más País in the lead up to the November 2019 Spanish general election.[48]

Alfonso Alonso had been initially scheduled to repeat as the leading candidate for the People's Party (PP) in the regional election, having been confirmed for the post on 10 February 2020.[49][50] However, the negotiation of a coalition with Citizens (Cs) which the Basque PP received with heavy criticism, amid claims of having been overruled and swept aside by the party's national leadership in the coalition talks,[51][52] triggered an internal clash which led national PP leader Pablo Casado to force Alonso's removal as candidate on 23 February and propose Carlos Iturgaiz for the post instead.[42]

Timetable

The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):[15][33][53][54]

  • 10 February: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the Lehendakari after deliberation in the Council of Government.[30]
  • 11 February: Formal dissolution of the Basque Parliament and beginning of a suspension period of events for the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
  • 14 February: Initial constitution of historical territory and zone electoral commissions.
  • 21 February: Deadline for parties and federations intending to enter into a coalition to inform the relevant electoral commission.
  • 2 March: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates to the relevant electoral commission.
  • 4 March: Submitted lists of candidates are provisionally published in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV).
  • 7 March: Deadline for citizens entered in the Register of Absent Electors Residing Abroad (CERA) and for citizens temporarily absent from Spain to apply for voting.
  • 8 March: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to rectify irregularities in their lists.
  • 9 March: Official proclamation of valid submitted lists of candidates.
  • 10 March: Proclaimed lists are published in the BOPV.
  • 20 March: Official start of electoral campaigning.[30]
  • 26 March: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
  • 31 March: Official start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication, dissemination or reproduction and deadline for CERA citizens to vote by mail.
  • 1 April: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voters to issue their votes.
  • 3 April: Last day of official electoral campaigning and deadline for CERA citizens to vote in a ballot box in the relevant consular office or division.[30]
  • 4 April: Official 24-hour ban on political campaigning prior to the general election (reflection day).
  • 5 April: Polling day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote). Provisional counting of votes starts immediately.
  • 10 April: General counting of votes, including the counting of CERA votes.
  • 14 April: Deadline for the general counting of votes to be carried out by the relevant electoral commission.
  • 25 April: Deadline for elected members to be proclaimed by the relevant electoral commission.
  • 2 May: Final deadline for definitive results to be published in the BOPV.
  • The parliament's re-assembly must take place within fifteen days following the accreditation of at least one-third of proclaimed legislators.[55]

Campaign

Party slogans

Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Ref.
EAJ/PNV « Gure Bidean »
« Hacemos Euskadi » 		"On Our Way"
"We Make the Basque Country" 		[56]
EH Bildu « Merezi Duzun Herria Egiteko Prest »
« Haz Posible el País que Mereces » 		"Prepared to Make the Country you Deserve"
"Make it Possible the Country you Deserve"
Elkarrekin Podemos
PP+Cs
PSE–EE (PSOE) « Ni un Paso Atrás »
« Aurrera Goaz » 		"No Step Backwards"
"We Go Forward" 		[57]
Vox

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PNV EHB.png Elkarrekin Podemos.svg PSE–EE (PSOE) PP Cs Vox PP+Cs logo 2020 (2).png Lead
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 1] 5 Apr 2020 1,000 ? 38.9
29 		22.9
17 		10.3
9 		14.9
13 		[c] [c] 2.1
0 		8.4
7 		16.0
NC Report/La Razón[p 2] 1–4 Apr 2020 1,000 ? 36.2
27/28 		24.0
18/19 		9.6
7/8 		13.1
10/11 		[c] [c] 2.3
0/1 		12.0
9/10 		12.2
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 3] 8–10 Mar 2020 ? 36.4[d] 34.7
26 		26.7
20 		12.8
11 		14.3
11 		[c] [c] 2.3
1 		7.0
6 		8.0
52.0[e] 38.1
28 		23.4
18 		10.9
9 		14.6
12 		[c] [c] 2.4
1 		8.2
7 		14.7
63.2[f] 38.2
28 		23.3
18 		10.9
9 		14.7
12 		[c] [c] 2.4
1 		8.3
7 		14.9
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 3][p 4] 2–7 Mar 2020 ? ? 38.3
28 		23.4
18 		10.9
9 		14.8
13 		[c] [c] 2.3
0 		8.2
7 		14.9
GAD3/ABC[p 5][p 6] 2–6 Mar 2020 800 ? 39.9
30/31 		22.6
18/19 		9.7
7 		13.9
10/12 		[c] [c] 2.9
1 		8.6
7 		17.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 7] 2–5 Mar 2020 ? ? 43.5
33/35 		21.5
16/19 		10.1
6/7 		14.1
11 		[c] [c] 1.2
0 		7.1
5 		22.0
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[p 8][p 9] 1 Mar 2020 ? ? 41.9
32/34 		23.1
18/21 		10.3
6/8 		14.8
10/11 		[c] [c] 1.2
0 		7.5
4/5 		18.8
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 10] 23 Feb–1 Mar 2020 ? ? 38.4
28 		23.5
18 		10.9
9 		15.0
13 		[c] [c] 2.2
0 		8.2
7 		14.9
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 11] 26–28 Feb 2020 900 ? 37.3
27 		22.2
18 		12.0
10 		14.1
12 		[c] [c] 3.1
1 		9.3
7 		15.1
NC Report/La Razón[p 12][p 13] 24–28 Feb 2020 1,000 ? 36.9
26/27 		22.8
18/19 		11.1
8/9 		13.7
11/12 		[c] [c] 1.3
0 		11.7
9/10 		14.1
Gizaker/EiTB[p 14] 25–27 Feb 2020 1,200 67.9 40.7
31 		23.2
18/19 		10.6
7/9 		14.5
11/13 		[c] [c] 1.9
0/1 		7.3
5/6 		17.5
KeyData/Público[p 15] 26 Feb 2020 ? 61.9 40.2
31 		22.5
19 		11.0
8 		14.5
12 		[c] [c] 2.2
0 		7.0
5 		17.7
Ikertalde/GPS[p 16][p 17] 18–26 Feb 2020 1,750 65.4 39.2
29 		23.0
19 		11.4
8 		15.1
12 		[c] [c] 1.8
0 		7.9
7 		16.2
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 18] 13–22 Feb 2020 ? ? 38.1
28 		23.7
19 		10.8
8 		15.3
13 		[c] [c] 2.2
0 		8.0
7 		14.4
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 19][p 20] 10–12 Feb 2020 ? ? 37.7
28 		23.8
19 		10.9
8 		15.2
13 		[c] [c] 1.6
0 		8.5
7 		13.9
? 37.7
29 		23.8
20 		10.9
9 		14.9
12 		7.1
5 		1.3
0 		2.0
0 		– 13.9
GAD3/ABC[p 21][p 22] 6–12 Feb 2020 904 ? 40.5
31/32 		22.4
18/19 		10.9
7/9 		12.3
10 		7.9
7 		0.8
0 		2.1
0 		– 18.1
Gizaker/EiTB[p 23] 31 Jan–4 Feb 2020 1,200 69.2 40.9
31/32 		22.6
17/19 		11.2
8/9 		14.4
11/12 		7.2
5/6 		0.7
0 		2.1
0 		– 18.3
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 24] 26–30 Jan 2020 ? ? 38.6
30 		23.4
20 		10.5
8 		14.7
12 		7.0
5 		2.1
0 		1.5
0 		– 15.2
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 N/A 66.4 32.0
24 		18.7
15 		15.4
12 		19.2
16 		8.8
7 		1.1
0 		2.4
1 		– 12.8
Ikertalde/GPS[p 25] 1–9 Oct 2019 2,170 62.9 39.7
30 		21.7
17 		11.5
9 		14.8
12 		7.9
7 		1.2
0 		1.3
0 		– 18.0
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 26] 13 Aug 2019 ? ? 38.9
30 		23.3
20 		10.1
8 		14.9
12 		6.4
5 		2.5
0 		1.7
0 		– 15.6
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 27] 10 Jul 2019 ? ? 39.9
32 		22.8
20 		9.4
6 		16.5
13 		6.3
4 		1.9
0 		1.3
0 		– 17.1
CPS/EHU[p 28] 28 May–19 Jun 2019 1,200 65.0 39.4
30 		22.8
19 		9.6
6 		18.1
14 		7.4
6 		1.0
0 		0.5
0 		– 16.6
2019 foral election[p 29] 26 May 2019 N/A 65.9 38.7
30 		23.8
19 		9.9
7 		17.0
13 		7.2
6 		1.3
0 		0.7
0 		– 14.9
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 N/A 62.9 33.9
27 		22.0
19 		11.1
8 		19.0
15 		6.4
5 		2.7
1 		1.2
0 		– 11.9
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 2019 N/A 71.8 31.0
24 		16.7
13 		17.6
15 		19.9
16 		7.4
6 		3.2
1 		2.2
0 		– 12.1
CPS/EHU[p 30] 15 Oct–9 Nov 2018 1,200 60.0 38.3
31 		23.1
18 		10.3
7 		13.5
11 		8.2
7 		3.0
1 		– – 15.2
Ikertalde/GPS[p 31] 8–15 May 2018 2,313 58.8 39.0
30 		22.5
18 		12.8
10 		11.5
9 		8.9
7 		2.6
1 		– – 16.5
SyM Consulting[p 32][p 33] 7–9 May 2018 650 62.2 38.0
28 		20.9
15/18 		14.2
11/12 		12.5
9/10 		7.4
6 		4.3
3/4 		– – 17.1
Ikertalde/GPS[p 34] 26 Feb–5 Mar 2018 1,973 58.6 38.8
30 		21.9
18 		12.9
10 		12.2
9 		8.6
7 		3.1
1 		– – 16.9
Gizaker/EiTB[p 35] 22–23 Feb 2018 1,200 62.7 40.7
31 		22.3
18 		12.4
10 		12.0
9 		8.1
6 		2.4
1 		– – 18.4
Ikertalde/GPS[p 36] 24–30 Oct 2017 2,295 60.3 37.9
29 		22.5
18 		12.5
10 		12.0
9 		9.8
9 		2.1
0 		– – 15.4
Gizaker/EiTB[p 37] 2–4 Oct 2017 1,200 60.5 39.7
30 		23.4
19 		11.6
10 		12.6
9 		9.0
7 		1.6
0 		– – 16.3
CPS/EHU[p 38] 2 May–2 Jun 2017 1,200 60.0 38.6
29/30 		20.8
15/17 		13.9
10/11 		13.0
9 		9.2
7/9 		2.4
1 		– – 18.1
Ikertalde/GPS[p 39] 16–22 May 2017 2,268 58.6 37.8
29 		21.6
18 		13.9
10 		11.7
9 		9.7
9 		?
0 		– – 16.2
Gizaker/EiTB[p 40] 22–24 Feb 2017 1,200 60.4 38.2
29 		21.2
18 		12.8
9 		13.4
11 		9.7
8 		2.3
0 		– – 17.0
Ikertalde/GPS[p 41][p 42] 7–12 Feb 2017 2,268 58.2 38.2
29 		21.6
18 		13.6
10 		11.6
9 		10.0
9 		?
0 		– – 16.6
2016 regional election 25 Sep 2016 N/A 60.0 37.4
28 		21.1
18 		14.8
11 		11.9
9 		10.1
9 		2.0
0 		0.1
0 		– 16.3

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 5 April 2020 Basque Parliament election results
BasqueParliamentDiagram2020.svg
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV)
Basque Country Unite (EH Bildu)
United We Can–United Left (Podemos/Ahal Dugu, Ezker Anitza–IU)
People's Party+Citizens (PP+Cs)1
Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE))
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA/ATTKAA)
Zero Cuts–The Greens–Solidaria (Recortes Cero–LV–S)
Blank Seats (EB/AZ)
Vox (Vox)
Welcome (Ongi Etorri)
Humanist Party (PH)
Equo Greens–Basque Country Greens (Equo Berdeak–Verdes) New
Foralist League (LFF) New
Free for the Basque Country (LxE) New
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) New
Communist Party of the Workers of the Basque Country (ELAK/PCTE) New
Spanish Christian Democratic Union (UCDE) New
Blank ballots
Total 75 ±0
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast / turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters 1,793,878
Sources

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PNV EH Bildu EP–IU PP+Cs PSE–EE
% S % S % S % S % S
Álava
Biscay
Gipuzkoa
Total
Sources

Notes

  1. ^ a b Results for People's Party (10.11%) and Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (2.02%) in the 2016 election.
  2. ^ Vox did not field a single candidate for the post of Lehendakari.[46]
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah Within PP+Cs.
  4. ^ Widespread fear to coronavirus pandemic-scenario.
  5. ^ Mild fear to coronavirus pandemic-scenario.
  6. ^ Main scenario.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Especial 5-A: 'efecto bandera' para Feijoo, que sube con fuerza. Urkullu amplía levemente sus apoyos". electomania.es (in Spanish). 5 April 2020.
  2. ^ "Encuesta NC Report: Urkullu habría logrado la reelección por la mínima". La Razón (in Spanish). 6 April 2020.
  3. ^ a b "EuskoPanel (11M): estimaciones condicionadas al impacto del COVID-19 en Euskadi". electomania.es (in Spanish). 11 March 2020.
  4. ^ "EuskoPanel (8M): pocas variaciones en una carrera hasta ahora muy estable". electomania.es (in Spanish). 8 March 2020.
  5. ^ "El PSE podría pactar por Podemos y Bildu y arrebatar el Gobierno al PNV". ABC (in Spanish). 8 March 2020.
  6. ^ "PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta GAD3 08/03/2020: EH BILDU 22,6% (18/19), EAJ-PNV 39,9% (30/31), EP/UP 9,7% (7), PSE-EE 13,9% (10/12), PP+Cs 8,6% (7), VOX 2,9% (1)". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 March 2020.
  7. ^ "Euskadi perdona a Urkullu el desastre de Zaldibar y le refuerza de cara a las elecciones vascas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 8 March 2020.
  8. ^ "Encuesta electoral: El PNV volvería a ganar las elecciones con más escaños, pero necesitaría apoyo para gobernar en País Vasco". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 1 March 2020.
  9. ^ "PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta SigmaDos 01/03/2020: EH BILDU 23,1% (18/21), EAJ-PNV 41,9% (32/34), EP/UP 10,3% (6/8), PSE-EE 14,8% (10/11), PP+Cs 7,5% (4/5)". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 March 2020.
  10. ^ "EuskoPanel (4M): Elkarrekin Podemos araña un escaño a EH Bildu". electomania.es (in Spanish). 4 March 2020.
  11. ^ "El PNV sumaría mayoría absoluta con el PSOE y Vox entraría por Álava". El Español (in Spanish). 1 March 2020.
  12. ^ "Encuesta NC Report: La coalición PP+Cs frena a Vox en el País Vasco". La Razón (in Spanish). 2 March 2020.
  13. ^ "PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta NC Report 02/03/2020: EH BILDU 22,8% (18/19), EAJ-PNV 36,9% (26/27), EP/UP 11,1% (8/9), PSE-EE 13,7% (11/12), PP+Cs 11,7% (9/10), VOX 1,3%". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 March 2020.
  14. ^ "Vox podría entrar en el Parlamento Vasco obteniendo un escaño por Álava". EiTB (in Spanish). 3 March 2020.
  15. ^ "Sondeos: la suma PP+Cs perdería un 42% de votos y 4 de sus 9 escaños en Euskadi". Público (in Spanish). 26 February 2020.
  16. ^ "Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Marzo 2020)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 6 March 2020.
  17. ^ "PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta Ikertalde/GPS Gob. Vasco [Sociómetro]: EH BILDU 23,0% (19), EAJ-PNV 39,2% (29), EP/UP 11,4% (8), PSE-EE 15,1% (12), PP+Cs 7,9% (7), VOX 1,8%". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 March 2020.
  18. ^ "EuskoPanel (22F): la unión de PP+Cs empeoraría sus resultados electorales. Vox al borde del escaño en Álava". electomania.es (in Spanish). 22 February 2020.
  19. ^ "EuskoPanel (12F): Elkarrekin Podemos arrebata un escaño al PNV, que pierde la barrera de los 30". electomania.es (in Spanish). 12 February 2020.
  20. ^ "EuskoPanel (13F): una coalición de PP y Cs restaría algunos escaños a PNV y EH Bildu". electomania.es (in Spanish). 13 February 2020.
  21. ^ "El PNV amplía su ventaja electoral y podrá elegir socio en el País Vasco". ABC (in Spanish). 16 February 2020.
  22. ^ "PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta GAD3 16/02/2020: EH BILDU 22,4% (18/19), EAJ-PNV 40,5% (31/32), EP/UP 10,9% (7/9), PSE-EE 12,3% (10), Cs 0,8%, PP 7,9% (7), VOX 2,1%". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 February 2020.
  23. ^ "La coalición entre el PNV y el PSE-EE obtendría la mayoría absoluta, según EiTB Focus". EiTB (in Spanish). 13 February 2020.
  24. ^ "EuskoPanel (31e): PNV y EH Bildu continúan en plena forma. Ciudadanos y Vox no logran escaños". electomania.es (in Spanish). 31 January 2020.
  25. ^ "Previsión de voto para Elecciones Generales y Autonómicas (Octubre 2019)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 21 October 2019.
  26. ^ "EuskoPanel (13A): Jeltzales y la izquierda Abertzale sumarían 2/3 del Parlamento Vasco / Euzko jeltzaleek eta eskuineko abertzaleek Eusko Legebiltzarrean 2/3 gehituko lukete". electomania.es (in Spanish). 13 August 2019.
  27. ^ "ElectoPanel Euskadi (Jul'19): el PNV afianza su hegemonía". electomania.es (in Spanish). 10 July 2019.
  28. ^ "Euskobarómetro Junio 2019". EHU (in Spanish). 26 July 2019.
  29. ^ "Extrapolación al Parlamento Vasco de los Resultados de las Elecciones Forales 2019". EiTB (in Spanish).
  30. ^ "Euskobarómetro Octubre 2018". EHU (in Spanish). 22 December 2018.
  31. ^ "Previsión de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Junio 2018)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 13 June 2018.
  32. ^ "Estimación Mayo 2018. Euskadi/País Vasco. Autonómicas 2020". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 29 May 2018.
  33. ^ "PAÍS VASCO. Elecciones autonómicas. Encuesta SyM Consulting. Mayo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 29 May 2018.
  34. ^ "Previsión de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Marzo 2018)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 23 March 2018.
  35. ^ "EiTB Focus: El PNV ganaría las elecciones, subiendo tres escaños, uno por territorio". EiTB (in Spanish). 6 March 2018.
  36. ^ "Previsión de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Noviembre 2017)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 9 November 2017.
  37. ^ "EiTB Focus: PNV ganaría de nuevo y saldría reforzado, igual que EH Bildu". EiTB (in Spanish). 18 October 2017.
  38. ^ "Euskobarómetro Mayo 2017". EHU (in Spanish). 14 July 2017.
  39. ^ "Previsiones de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Junio 2017)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 14 June 2017.
  40. ^ "EiTB Focus: El PNV volvería a ganar las elecciones". EiTB (in Spanish). 9 March 2017.
  41. ^ "Previsiones de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Febrero 2017)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 21 February 2017.
  42. ^ "PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas), Febrero 2017. Sondeo Gobierno Vasco (Sociómetro)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 February 2017.
Other
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  2. ^ a b "El lehendakari baraja el 5 de abril como fecha para las elecciones vascas" (in Spanish). EiTB. 5 February 2020. Retrieved 5 February 2020.
  3. ^ a b "El lehendakari ultima un inminente adelanto electoral al pedir la preceptiva opinión a todos sus consejeros". El Mundo (in Spanish). 4 February 2020. Retrieved 5 February 2020.
  4. ^ "Urkullu sopesa un adelanto electoral en el País Vasco". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 4 February 2020. Retrieved 5 February 2020.
  5. ^ "Urkullu ve en el adelanto electoral una vía de escape a la corrupción y el impacto catalán". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 9 February 2020. Retrieved 9 February 2020.
  6. ^ a b "Urkullu da por finalizada la legislatura vasca y convoca elecciones para el 5 de abril". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 10 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  7. ^ "Urkullu adelanta las elecciones vascas al 5 de abril". El País (in Spanish). 10 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  8. ^ "Feijoo decide hacer coincidir las elecciones gallegas y vascas". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 10 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  9. ^ "Urkullu y Feijóo coordinan las elecciones para alejarse de Torra y vender estabilidad". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 10 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  10. ^ "Feijóo y Pedro Sánchez coinciden en que se deben aplazar las elecciones gallegas" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. 15 March 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2020.
  11. ^ "Sánchez deja en manos de Urkullu y Feijóo la decisión de aplazar las urnas". ABC (in Spanish). 15 March 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2020.
  12. ^ "Urkullu suspende las elecciones del 5 de abril apoyado en un informe jurídico que desaconseja su celebración". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 16 March 2020. Retrieved 16 March 2020.
  13. ^ a b c "Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco". Organic Law No. 3 of 18 December 1979. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  14. ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  15. ^ a b c d "Ley 5/1990, de 15 de junio, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco". Law No. 5 of 15 June 1990. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  16. ^ "Series detalladas desde 2002. Resultados por Provincias. Población residente por fecha, sexo y edad". ine.es (in Spanish). National Institute of Statistics. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  17. ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  18. ^ "La Euskadi política aguarda a que Urkullu confirme si habrá elecciones autonómicas el 5 de abril". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 6 February 2020. Retrieved 6 February 2020.
  19. ^ "Ley 7/1981, de 30 de junio, sobre Ley de Gobierno". Law No. 7 of 30 June 1981. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  20. ^ "El Gobierno de Urkullu aborda oficialmente la hipótesis de un adelanto electoral inmediato en Euskadi". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 4 February 2020. Retrieved 4 February 2020.
  21. ^ "Urkullu sondea la opinión de sus consejeros sobre un adelanto electoral". Deia (in Spanish). 4 February 2020. Retrieved 4 February 2020.
  22. ^ "Urkullu se inclina por adelantar las elecciones para no coincidir con Torra". El País (in Spanish). 10 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  23. ^ "Iñigo Urkullu adelanta las elecciones en el País Vasco al 5 de abril para que no coincidan con las catalanas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  24. ^ "Urkullu no descarta convocar elecciones para el 5 de abril". La Razón (in Spanish). 7 February 2020. Retrieved 7 February 2020.
  25. ^ "Urkullu mantiene la incógnita electoral pero no se descarta la fecha del 5 de abril" (in Spanish). EiTB. 7 February 2020. Retrieved 7 February 2020.
  26. ^ "Urkullu asegura que todavía no ha decidido la fecha de las elecciones vascas". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 February 2020. Retrieved 6 February 2020.
  27. ^ "Urkullu se toma el fin de semana para decidir: el martes se conocerá si hay adelanto electoral en Euskadi". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 7 February 2020. Retrieved 8 February 2020.
  28. ^ "Urkullu anunciará esta tarde el adelanto de las elecciones vascas" (in Spanish). Europa Press. 10 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  29. ^ "Una convocatoria urgente de Urkullu a la prensa apunta a un adelanto electoral en el País Vasco". El País (in Spanish). 10 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  30. ^ a b c d "Decreto 2/2020, de 10 de febrero, del Lehendakari, por el que se disuelve el Parlamento Vasco y se convocan elecciones" (PDF). Boletín Oficial del País Vasco (in Spanish) (28). 11 February 2020. ISSN 2483-5366.
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  32. ^ "Parlamentarios y Órganos. Grupos. Composición. Históricos - Legislatura actual". www.legebiltzarra.eus (in Spanish). Basque Parliament. Retrieved 9 February 2020.
  33. ^ a b "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  34. ^ "Los jeltzales acortan su proceso para nombrar candidato a Urkullu el día 24". Deia (in Spanish). 12 February 2020. Retrieved 20 February 2020.
  35. ^ "EH Bildu elige hoy la nueva ejecutiva en su congreso de refundación" (in Spanish). EiTB. 17 June 2017. Retrieved 9 February 2020.
  36. ^ "Otegi no será candidato a lehendakari: EH Bildu vuelve a optar por Maddalen Iriarte". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 27 January 2020. Retrieved 27 January 2020.
  37. ^ "Maddalen Iriarte, proclamada candidata a lehendakari por EH Bildu". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 3 February 2020. Retrieved 3 February 2020.
  38. ^ "La coalición Elkarrekin Podemos se rompe en Euskadi en puertas de las elecciones con la salida de Equo, que denuncia un "veto" de Pablo Iglesias". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 21 February 2020. Retrieved 21 February 2020.
  39. ^ "Podemos Euskadi y Ezker Anitza-IU registran la coalición Elkarrekin Podemos-IU con la que concurrirán el 5 de abril". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 21 February 2020. Retrieved 21 February 2020.
  40. ^ "Miren Gorrotxategi, candidata a lehendakari de la coalición Elkarrekin Podemos-IU" (in Spanish). EiTB. 27 February 2020. Retrieved 27 February 2020.
  41. ^ "PP y Ciudadanos cierran su acuerdo en Euskadi e irán juntos a las elecciones". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 19 February 2020. Retrieved 19 February 2020.
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  43. ^ "El PP propone a Carlos Iturgaiz como candidato a las elecciones vascas". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 23 February 2020. Retrieved 23 February 2020.
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  45. ^ "Idoia Mendia (PSE-EE), primera mujer candidata a lehendakari". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 28 June 2019. Retrieved 5 February 2020.
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  47. ^ "Pili Zabala dice que dejará la política al final de la legislatura ya que en ella "se sufre"" (in Spanish). Europa Press. 10 August 2018. Retrieved 11 August 2018.
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  55. ^ "Reglamento del Parlamento Vasco". Basque Parliament Regulation of 8 July 2011. Boletín Oficial del País Vasco (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 February 2020.
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